It Still Makes Sense to Buy Versus Rent:
Nearly a full
third of households are still renting...but if you are one of them, you could
be paying a hefty price. Additionally, the children of the baby boomer
generation are close to or at the home buying age, but these "echo
boomers" could mistakenly decide to put off the purchase of a home because
of all the noise about a "bubble" in home prices.
Is there a
"bubble"? The simple answer is "no". Even if interest rates
move a bit higher, it won't be enough to cause a nationwide slide in home
prices. The key to a healthy housing market is the job market. If the payment
on a new home might be slightly higher due to increased interest rates, it
generally won't stop someone from purchasing the home of their dreams...but if
they feel their job is in jeopardy, it might be enough to stop them from making
a move. So with the currently low levels of unemployment and the beefy gains in
job creations, it looks like the housing market will remain vibrant. Although
it will be difficult to sustain the double-digit gains that much of the country
has seen, price declines are highly unlikely. Expect a more moderate rate of
appreciation, perhaps closer to the historical 6-7% range, which is still very
good.
It is
important to note that housing tends to be localized. So if the job market in
your area is weak, housing prices could under perform the rest of the country.
But this talk
of a housing bubble has been going on for a few years now, and those who were
unfortunately victimized by continuing to rent instead of purchasing a home are
painfully mulling over their missed opportunity. But is it too late? Even with
the more moderate levels of appreciation expected…procrastinating on that home
purchase could cost you a bundle.
Let's look at
an example. If you are paying rent at $1,500 per month and your landlord
increases your payment by a modest 5% each year, you would wind up paying just
about $100,000 over a 5-year period! Worse yet, after forking over $100,000,
you still would have nothing to show for it.
And speaking
of having nothing to show for it - how about any improvements you might make to
a rental property? It's not uncommon for renters to freshen up the paint,
install new light fixtures or plant some nice flowers
outside. But guess what…all your efforts, labor and the benefit of that
improvement belong to the landlord, not to you.
With the
extensive variety of programs to help buyers obtain a mortgage with little to
even zero down payment, the very same money could have
been used towards home ownership. Even using a standard 30-year fixed program,
a mortgage of $300,000 could be obtained with a total monthly mortgage payment
- including property taxes and insurance - of around $2,200. Assuming a 25% tax
bracket, this would be equivalent to the average amount spent on rent during
the same period after your tax benefit.
And the
benefits of home ownership are quite considerable. Because the mortgage is
being paid down each month, equity is being built. After 5-years, the $300,000
mortgage would be reduced to $279,000, adding $21,000 to your net worth. Home
appreciation can add an even bigger chunk. If your home appreciates at a modest
5% per year, the value of a $300,000 home would increase to $383,000 after
5-years. Subtract the remaining mortgage of $279,000 and you have a whopping
$104,000 of additional net worth! Even if the appreciation level were at 3.5%
or half the historical norm, the result would be $77,000 of additional net
worth.
But if laying
out the initial increase in monthly payment and having to wait for your tax
benefit to show up next April is a tough nut to crack, the IRS wants to help.
Instead of waiting to file for the tax benefits derived from your new home
purchase, you can simply adjust the amount of your withholding. This allows you
to have less tax withheld from each paycheck so you can handle the new mortgage
payment more comfortably throughout the year. In essence, you are taking your
tax refund as you go instead of letting Uncle Sam hold it all year, interest
free.
Visit www.irs.gov and use the
IRS withholding calculator. This very handy tool can quickly show you the
effect a change in withholding will do to your net paycheck. Remember to
balance this with the expected refund and it is always a good idea to check
with your tax advisor.
Don't be
victimized by the bubble hype. Buying a home is a big step, but it is almost
always one in the right direction.
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